A simple mathematical model without seasonality indicated that the apparently chaotic dengue epidemics in Singapore have characteristics similar to epidemics resulting from chance. Randomness as a sufficient condition for patterns of dengue epidemics in equatorial regions calls into question existing explanations for dengue outbreaks there.
Ahead of Print -Randomness of Dengue Outbreaks on the Equator - Volume 21, Number 9—September 2015 - Emerging Infectious Disease journal - CDC
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